ARE we heading for freefall? You may remember the notorious Deagel prediction, from 11 years ago, of a plummeting population by the current year of 2025. According to the strategic forecaster, the West would be hardest hit. Our crowded island of Great Britain would lose over three quarters of its people, merely 14million surviving: while the USA would fall below 100million.
The estimated decreases were incredible, particularly in the West: the UK down 77 per cent by 2025, Ireland 72 per cent, USA 69 per cent, Germany 65 per cent, Spain 44 per cent. Meanwhile the population of African nations was predicted to be nearing a peak; China would fall by merely 1.6 per cent, while India, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Brazil would continue to grow.
After the statistical modelling of Neil Ferguson at Imperial College London was used by governments to impose lockdown in the pseudo pandemic, and relentless climate change warnings with spuriously precise numerical data that fail the test of time, we should always be cautious of such dubious techniques. Models are at best a shot in the dark, at worst propaganda to induce confusion, fear and compliance.
Founded by Edwin and Judy Deagle in 1997, Deagel (I don’t know why they changed the spelling), is closely linked to the US armed services. It collates and analyses data on military expenditure, industrial output and population patterns. Its strategic reports have been commissioned by the United Nations and World Bank. The anonymous author is believed to be Edwin Deagle himself, who died on February 16, 2021. A man immersed in the Washington ‘deep state’, he was appointed by Bill Clinton’s administration to a senior role in the Department of Defense. A leading member of the globalist Council on Foreign Relations, he was also the director of international relations for the eugenicist Rockefeller Foundation.
On the face of it, 2025 is more of the same, so far. The fact is the population of most Western countries has, overall, continued to rise steadily, although Germany lost half a million last year and Portugal, Spain and Italy are now in decline. The UK, Ireland, France and Belgium are growing due to mass immigration and high fertility in Muslim communities. However Deagel didn’t get it entirely wrong.
There are two regions where population has gone into reverse. Almost every nation in eastern Europe, including Russia and Belarus, has seen procreation past the summit and now on a long descent. Greece is back under 10million, and the Baltic states are depopulating so much that the Russians could (if Vladimir Putin wished) march in with little opposition.
The other region with much higher reductions in headcount is the Far East. Unlike the Deagel forecast, reported evidence is that the most dramatic fall is not in the West but in China. Cities stand empty as the Chinese population goes into reverse – The Conservative Woman Also going down are Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Thailand and Nepal, while the Philippines, Vietnam and Laos are still rising. The sheer size of China, officially (though dubiously) numbered at over 1.4billion, means that a tiny percentage change amounts to thousands of missing human beings.
| Cities stand empty as the Chinese population goes into reverse – The Con…Niall McCraeCities stand empty as the Chinese population goes into reverse |
See for yourself, on the United Nations Worldometer website, the population reversal in real time. I recorded the live numbers at 2pm on May 10, and again at 2pm two days later. The proportions are obviously small for such a time period, but the loss of people is significant. I have added an annual estimate, multiplying the two-day figures by 183.
| Country | Population (2pm on 10th May) | Population (2pm on 12th May) | Difference(48 hours) | Difference (annual estimate) |
| Japan | 123,195,120 | 123,191,663 | -3,457 | -632,631 |
| China | 1,416,552,176 | 1,416,534,400 | -17,776 | -3,253,008 |
| South Korea | 51,674,184 | 51,673,906 | -278 | 50,874 |
| Taiwan | 23,127,084 | 23,126,528 | -556 | -101,748 |
| Philippines | 116,649,309 | 116,658,190 | +8881 | +1,625,223 |
| Vietnam | 101,509,330 | 101,515,220 | +5890 | +1,077,870 |
| Thailand | 71,626,709 | 71,626,408 | -301 | -55,083 |
| Nepal | 29,662,795 | 29,622,597 | -198 | -36,234 |
Japan, at the current rate of decrease, will lose the equivalent of a large city in one year. China, with over three million fewer people, will see a surfeit of vacant high-rise developments and shopping malls. These estimates, however, are not modelled for the trend of escalating negative change, as depopulation gains momentum.
An intriguing question is whether the Chinese state wants depopulation. Officially, policies have emerged to encourage motherhood, but arguably the structure (one-bed flats) and culture (encroachment of Western materialism) of Chinese society is not amenable to reversing the trend. Viktor Orban in Hungary knows that once women stop having babies, it’s difficult to get natural breeding back into gear.
The global population is not falling off a precipice, as Deagel predicted, but we are staring at a sinking horizon.
